PHAN TICH XAC SUAT "HAU CAU" DE CHIEN THANG NOHUWIN



Nguoi nghiep du choi theo "cau", nguoi lap trinh choi theo "xac suat hau cau" (Conditional Probability).



1. Tai sao "cau" chi la su danh lua thi giac?



Nao bo con nguoi rat gioi trong viec tim kiem quy luat (Pattern Recognition). Nhung https://nohuwin.biz/ su dung MD5, mot thuat toan bam (hashing). Ban khong the doan duoc ket qua bang mat thuong. Tuy nhien, ban co the tinh duoc xac suat van tiep theo la bao nhieu dua tren chuoi da qua.



2. Thuat toan "Do nhip song"



Thay vi doan "Se ra gi?", hay lap trinh cho minh tu duy: "Voi 5 van Tai lien tiep, xac suat ra Xiu o van thu 6 la bao nhieu?". Du lieu se cho ban cau tra loi. Nguoi choi chuyen nghiep tai Nohuwin luon vao lenh o nhung noi xac suat cong don (Cumulative Probability) ung ho ho.



3. Tan dung "Bien loi nhuan" tu hoan tra



Trong lap trinh, toi uu hoa (Optimization) la muc tieu cuoi cung. Tai Nohuwin, toi uu hoa co nghia la: Thang thi an tien cuoc, thua thi duoc hoan tra doanh thu. Khi ban dat duoc trang thai "Hedging" (cuoc doi ung an toan), ban dang chay mot ham loi nhuan duong deu dan, khong can du doan chinh xac.



Phone : 0938475621



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